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4.1.2 Risk Factors

Effective from 13/7/2023

As part of the business-wide ML/TF risk assessment, a proper identification of risk factors is crucial to the effective assessment of ML/FT risk. Risks will often occur as combinations of these risk factors. A risk can for instance occur because of the interrelationship between a customer and the jurisdictions where the customer is from or is active, or because of the connection between a product and the delivery channel.

Identified risk factors are used for the accurate categorisation of inherent risks, as well as for the application of appropriate mitigation measures. At the enterprise level, this includes adopting and applying adequate policies, procedures, and controls to business processes (see Section 5.1, Internal Policies, Controls and Procedures). The policies, procedures, and controls will in turn address the risks at the individual customer level, including assigning appropriate risk classifications to customers and applying due diligence measures that are commensurate with the identified risks (see Section 6, Customer Due Diligence).

The AML-CFT Decision outlines several risk factors which FIs must consider, when identifying and assessing their ML/FT risk exposure. FIs may also consider a wide array of additional risk factors, utilising various sources, such as:

ML/FT red-flag indicators;
 
Input and information from relevant internal sources, including the designated AML/CFT compliance officer;
 
Information from national sources, including the results of the NRA or any Topical Risk Assessment with regard to ML/FT trends and sectoral threats and notices or circulars from the relevant Supervisory Authorities;
 
Information from publications of relevant international organisations, such as FATF, MENAFATF and other FSRBs, the Egmont Group, UNODC, and others. (Links to some of these sources may be found in Appendix 11.2.)
 

In keeping with the ever-evolving nature of ML/FT risks, and in order to ensure that FIs implement a model for conducting the ML/TF business risk assessment that is appropriate to the nature and size of their businesses, FIs should continuously update the risk factors which they consider, in order to reflect new and emerging ML/FT risks and typologies.

A good practice to assess the inherent risk factors, is for FIs to formulate risk scenarios and assess the likelihood that a scenario occurs and the impact should a scenario materialize. The likelihood can be assessed based on the number of times per year that a risk scenario can occur. The impact can be assessed based on the possible financial and reputational effects that can result if a scenario indeed occurs. In this way, the FI can determine the inherent risks of a risk factor.

When assessing the inherent risks, an FI should make an inventory of the customers it services, the products and services it offers, define the scope of business areas to assess, including business units, legal entities, divisions, countries and regions. For this, an FI should make use of up-to-date quantitative and qualitative information on for instance, the types and number of customers, the volume of operations for the types of customers, volume of business per product and services and geographic locations.

Examples with regard to some of the major risk factors that should be taken into account by FIs when conducting the ML/TF business risk assessment are provided in the sections below. Even though some of these risk factors will also be relevant for the risk assessment of an individual Customer or Business Relationship, for the ML/TF business risk assessment, FIs are reminded that they should take a holistic view when evaluating exposure to these categories of customers.